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Michael Healy-Rae is on course to get the highest vote in the country in the general election as he exceeds the quota by 10 percent in TG4 Kerry constituency poll, ensuring a seat for Danny Healy-Rae too

The three other seats will go to each of the three main parties, one each for Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael and Sinn Féin.

26.11.24

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The results of a TG4 / Ipsos B&A constituency poll for Kerry revealed from Dún Chaoin on Nuacht TG4 tonight show that Michael Healy Rae received a whopping 27% of the vote putting him far ahead of any other candidate and will be amongst the highest vote getters in the state on Friday. His brother Danny Healy-Rae comes in fifth on 10 per cent. Michael’s surplus of almost 40 per cent according to this poll will transfer to Danny guaranteeing both Healy-Raes a return to the Dáil.

The Kerry constituency is a five-seater, with a quota of 17 percent.

Outgoing Minister for Education Norma Foley polls second on 14 per cent, and with transfers from the other Fianna Fáil candidates, Michael Cahill (on 7 per cent) and Linda Gordon Kelleher (on 3 per cent) will retain her seat in Kerry. The combined Fianna Fáil vote is ahead of its 2020 tally, which is a good performance given that John Brassil has retired.
 

The results of the constituency poll are:

*= 0.0 – 0.5%
 

Brendan Griffin Fine Gael is not running in this election and is replaced on the Fine Gael ticket by Billy O’Shea. Newcomer Billy O’Shea is polling well on 14 per cent, although the Fine Gael vote appears to be down marginally in Kerry. The two main government parties are transferring well to each other even across geographical lines.

Sinn Féin’s Pa Daly is on 12 per cent and running mate Stephanie O’Shea (on 3 per cent) giving Sinn Féin a combined 15 per cent in Kerry, and not quite a quota. Similar to Fine Gael, the party vote appears to be slightly lower this time but are holding their own in Kerry.

The Labour Party which held a seat in Kerry for decades are performing poorly at 2% of the poll.

This TG4/Ipsos B&A poll was conducted on Friday and Saturday of last week (22nd and 23rd November), one week before election day. A sample of 521 attaches a margin of error of about plus or minus four percentage points.